March MadnessSports Betting Strategy Guide
Best Bets for March Madness
There is plenty of betting potential during March Madness if you know where to focus your efforts. Here’s how you can optimize your chances for greater rewards:
1.Select Favorite Teams to Win the NCAA Tournament
Before the #4 Connecticut Huskies claimed victory in the NCAA Tournament in 2023, every champion in the previous five tournaments had been a #1 seed. In 2024, the Huskies won another championship as the top seed.
Concentrate on the leading seeded teams when organizing your brackets and making future bets.
2.Identify Value Among Underdog Teams Early On
Although #1 and #2 seeds often dominate, don’t overlook the capabilities of lower-seeded teams during March Madness.
3.Don’t Forget to Handicap Totals
Explore beyond just moneylines and betting competitions. While victories and losses are crucial, totals betting offers hidden value.
4.Bracket Contests Are Among the Top Betting Options for March Madness
Completing brackets is a favorite pastime for casual enthusiasts each season, but more astute college basketball bettors can seize opportunities for significant wins with minimal risk. Also, don’t forget about funny bracket names ! It may not improve your odds, but it will definitely entertain your friends and office mates.
When Do Brackets for March Madness Close?
The deadline for March Madness brackets is typically at the start of the first round of the tournament. This allows you to finalize your choices right until play begins. You will need to wait for the First Four outcomes to complete your bracket.
March Madness Betting Strategies
Your journey to mastering March Madness begins here! Here’s how to develop the foundational elements for your successful strategy:
1. What is a Sports Betting Bankroll?
Your bankroll refers to the entirety of funds allocated for betting. Wise management involves selecting a consistent unit size—often between 1-5% per bet. This approach mitigates losses and promotes steadiness, particularly during the inevitable ups and downs of the March Madness betting experience.
2. How to Establish Your March Madness Betting Bankroll?
Begin by selecting an appropriate bankroll based on your disposable income. Following that, choose a fixed bet size to preclude chasing after losses. Placing smaller bets at the beginning of the tournament allows you to save funds and make more calculated bets as the tournament progresses and matchups become clearer. MyBookie provides a comprehensive array of betting guides and bankroll management advice to assist you in constructing your budget, especially if this is your initial experience.
Expert Betting Budget Tip: Moderate your betting pace during the initial rounds of March Madness. We suggest only wagering on games where you see a clear advantage. As the tournament advances, more game statistics become available to guide your assessments.
3. How To Read an Injury Report?
Injury updates are crucial to your March Madness betting strategy. If a player is labeled 'Probable', they are expected to play normally, whereas 'Questionable' or 'Doubtful' signals uncertainty. Assess more than just status labels; consider the nature of the injury and the team's depth. A key player’s hand injury holds more weight than a bench player with a slight calf strain.
Expert Injury Report Tip: Evaluate team depth when assessing injuries. A squad that relies heavily on 1-2 players may struggle if a significant player gets hurt. Conversely, a well-rounded team that shares the ball effectively may be better equipped to handle injuries.
4. Prepare Your Initial Lines Early
Oddsmakers release preliminary lines for over 60 March Madness games, but these are not always accurate. By creating your own forecasts in advance, you can identify mismatches and gain an advantage before the lines are adjusted. In college basketball, you often see the most dramatic swings in betting lines, so focus on teams or conferences you’re already familiar with.
Expert Line Choice Tip: Act quickly on early line discrepancies. If you believe Oregon is a -4 favorite but they open at -2.5, it’s wise to secure your bet early rather than risk missing out. BetUS provides earlier lines compared to many sportsbooks, giving you an opportunity to take advantage.
5. Scheduling Tips to Consider
Although March Madness games are played on neutral courts, factors like travel and fan support can still influence outcomes. A team that plays closer to home or is backed by a large fan base (like Kentucky or Duke) may experience a virtual home-court benefit. Also take into consideration seeding matchups and past trends between regions.
Expert Scheduling Tip: Examine historical results in same-conference seeding matchups, and consider travel distances as well as potential fan support for both competing teams. Knowledgeable bettors can discover critical advantages based on scheduling.
6. What’s the Most Effective Betting Strategy for March Madness?
There isn't one definitive strategy that ensures victory. Successful bettors typically employ a blend of research, self-discipline, and timely decision-making. A smart approach is to pay attention to the current form of the teams. A lower-seeded team that has hit its stride can outshine its seed ranking, while a higher seed in a slump may be at risk. Sportsbooks like Everygame provide a wide range of NCAAB options, making it easier to diversify your strategy and spread your investments throughout different parts of the tournament.
Expert Seeding Strategy Tip: Sportsbooks like Everygame offer a variety of NCAAB markets that facilitate strategy diversification and risk distribution across various tournament segments.
7. Don’t Chase Your Losses
The emotional rollercoaster of March Madness can be intense, especially when bets don’t pan out early. However, trying to quickly recover by doubling down can lead to poor decisions. Adhere to your unit size and avoid impulsive bets. Taking a break or skipping games that don’t offer clear value can help maintain a responsible betting perspective. Sportsbooks like BetOnlin e provide responsible gambling features that allow you to implement cooldown periods or set limits on your wagers.
Expert Responsible Gambling Tip: When you start feeling frustrated, it’s best to step away for a while. Taking a day off from betting on college basketball is preferable to pursuing losses or betting under pressure.
Types of March Madness Bets
March Madness presents a wide array of betting options, ranging from outright winner wagers to NCAA Tournament contests. Here are some of the most common types of bets you’ll find during March Madness:
March Madness Bracket Challenges
In March Madness Bracket Challenges , where participants predict the outcomes of each game in the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament to create the most accurate bracket. Points are assigned for each correct prediction, with more points usually awarded in later rounds and for predicting the final champion.
For instance, a bracket contest might award one point for each correct first-round guess, two points for each second-round win prediction, and so on. The participant with the highest total score at the tournament's conclusion is declared the winner.
Moneyline
A moneyline bet involves simply predicting the outright winner of the game. For example, if Duke is -150 and UNC is +130, you’d need to wager $150 on Duke to earn $100, or place a $100 bet on UNC to win $130. It's straightforward—just win the game.
Point Spread
Point spread betting centers on the margin by which a team wins. For instance, if Kentucky is -7.5 against Florida, they need to win by at least 8 points to cover the spread. If Florida either loses by 7 points or fewer, or wins outright, that bet is deemed successful. Spreads level the playing field between stronger and weaker teams.
Totals
Totals bets ask you to predict whether the combined score of both teams surpasses or falls short of a specific number. If the line is set at 150.5 and the final score is 71-65, the total is 136 and the bet on the UNDER wins. It's not about predicting the winner, but rather the score itself.
Parlays
Understanding March Madness Betting – A Comprehensive Guide to NCAA Tournament Wagers
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Futures
Enhance your betting strategy for March Madness with the advice found on this page. Learn the ins and outs of wagering on March Madness matchups, discover tips and strategies for NCAA Tournament betting, review historical winning statistics, and more.
- Top Tips for Betting During March Madness
- Strategic Approaches to March Madness Wagering
Guide to March Madness Live Betting
March Madness presents numerous betting opportunities if you know where to focus your attention. Here’s how to maximize your potential winnings:
Select Top Contenders to Claim the NCAA Tournament Title
Before the #4 seed Connecticut Huskies took the NCAA Championship in 2023, the champions of the preceding five March Madness tournaments all came from the #1 seed. In 2024, the Huskies dominated yet again as the top seed.
When filling out your brackets and placing future bets, concentrate on the highest-ranked teams.
This year, you can place your bets on the #1-seed Auburn at recommended sportsbooks like
Identify Underdog Value in the Early Rounds
While #1 and #2 seeded teams tend to perform well, don't overlook the hidden potential of lower-seeded teams during March Madness.
Expert March Madness Picks
See All CBB PicksLook beyond just moneylines and betting matchups. While winning and losing matter,
Examine game pace, flow, and team dynamics to discover Over/Under betting opportunities. Leverage these insights to possibly enhance your overall betting experience.
Bracket Contests Are Among the Most Effective Bets for March Madness
| CONFERENCE | CHAMPIONSHIPS | WIN % |
|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Coast Conference | 15 (1957, 1974, 1982, 1983, 1991, 1992, 1993, 2001, 2002, 2005, 2009, 2010, 2015, 2017, 2019) | .178 (out of 83 all-time NCAA Tournaments) |
| Pac-12 Conference | 15 (1939, 1942, 1959, 1964, 1965, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1975, 1995, 1997) | .178 |
| Southeast Conference | 11 (1948, 1949, 1951, 1958, 1978, 1994, 1996, 1998, 2006, 2007, 2012) | .131 |
| Big Ten Conference | 10 (1940, 1941, 1953, 1960, 1976, 1979, 1981, 1987, 1989, 2000) | .119 |
| Big East Conference | 10 (1984, 1985, 1999, 2003, 2004, 2011, 2013, 2016, 2018, 2023, 2024) | .119 |
| Independents | 6 (1944, 1947, 1954, 1963, 1966, 1977) | .071 |
| Missouri Valley Conference | 4 (1945, 1946, 1961, 1962) | .047 |
| Big 12 Conference | 3 (2008, 2021, 2022) | .035 |
| Big 8 Conference (1907-1996) | 2 (1952, 1988) | .024 |
| Metro Conference (1975-1995) | 2 (1980, 1986) | .024 |
| West Coast Conference | 2 (1955, 1956) | .024 |
| American Athletic Conference | 1 (2014) | .012 |
| Big West Conference | 1 (1990) | .012 |
| Metropolitan New York Conference (1933-1963) | 1 (1950) | .012 |
| Mountain States Conference (1938-1962) | 1 (1943) | .012 |
Filling out brackets is a favored pastime for casual followers each season, but more knowledgeable college basketball bettors have the chance to secure substantial wins with minimal risk. And don't forget to consider
! It may not boost your chances of winning, but it certainly will provide some entertainment for you and your friends.
| SEED | TOTAL WINS | TOTAL LOSSES | WIN % | # OF CHAMPIONSHIPS | # OF RUNNER UPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | 500 | 128 | .796 | 24 | 13 |
| #2 | 354 | 147 | .707 | 5 | 8 |
| #3 | 281 | 148 | .655 | 4 | 7 |
| #4 | 235 | 150 | .610 | 2 | 2 |
| #5 | 176 | 152 | .537 | 0 | 4 |
| #6 | 160 | 151 | .514 | 1 | 1 |
| #7 | 136 | 151 | .474 | 1 | 0 |
| #8 | 110 | 151 | .421 | 1 | 3 |
| #9 | 93 | 152 | .380 | 0 | 0 |
| #10 | 93 | 151 | .381 | 0 | 0 |
| #11 | 98 | 152 | .392 | 0 | 0 |
| #12 | 77 | 152 | .338 | 0 | 0 |
| #13 | 38 | 152 | .200 | 0 | 0 |
| #14 | 24 | 152 | .136 | 0 | 0 |
| #15 | 16 | 152 | .095 | 0 | 0 |
| #16 | 2 | 152 | .013 | 0 | 0 |
Seed vs. Seed Data
which takes place this year at some of our most recommended college basketball betting sites.
When Do March Madness Brackets Close?
| MATCHUP | WINS | LOSSES | WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| #1 vs. #16 | 150 | 2 | .987 |
| #2 vs. #15 | 141 | 11 | .928 |
| #3 vs. #14 | 130 | 22 | .855 |
| #4 vs. #13 | 120 | 32 | .789 |
| #5 vs. #12 | 99 | 53 | .651 |
| #6 vs. #11 | 94 | 58 | .618 |
| #7 vs. #10 | 92 | 59 | .609 |
| #8 vs. #9 | 74 | 76 | .487 |
Percentage Wins by Seed by Round
Typically, the deadline for March Madness brackets coincides with the tip-off of the tournament's first round. This means you can submit your predictions right up until the first game's whistle. However, you’ll have to wait for the First Four round's results before finalizing your bracket.
| SEED | 1ST RD | 2ND RD | SWEET 16 | ELITE 8 | FINAL 4 | CHAMPIONSHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | .987 | .871 | .705 | .594 | .617 | .649 |
| #2 | .928 | .696 | .716 | .471 | .406 | .384 |
| #3 | .855 | .640 | .488 | .436 | .647 | .364 |
| #4 | .789 | .636 | .319 | .609 | .286 | .500 |
| #5 | .651 | .529 | .231 | .750 | .444 | .000 |
| #6 | .618 | .473 | .444 | .188 | .667 | .500 |
| #7 | .609 | .381 | .345 | .300 | .333 | 1.000 |
| #8 | .487 | .216 | .600 | .667 | .667 | .250 |
| #9 | .513 | .103 | .625 | .400 | .000 | N/A |
| #10 | .391 | .407 | .375 | .111 | .000 | N/A |
| #11 | .382 | .448 | .346 | .556 | .000 | N/A |
| #12 | .349 | .415 | .090 | .000 | N/A | N/A |
| #13 | .211 | .193 | .000 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| #14 | .145 | .090 | .000 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| #15 | .072 | .363 | .250 | .000 | N/A | N/A |
| #16 | .013 | .000 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Become an expert in March Madness! Here’s how you can start laying the foundation for your winning strategy:
Your bankroll is the total sum of money allocated for your betting ventures. Managing it effectively involves selecting a fixed unit bet size—typically ranging from 1-5% of your bankroll per wager. This practice helps you to control losses and maintain stability, especially during the inevitable ups and downs of the March Madness betting frenzy.
| TEAM | # OF MARCH MADNESS UPSETS OVER #1 SEEDS |
|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils | 9 |
| Kansas Jayhawks | 8 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 8 |
| Arizona Wildcats | 7 |
| Michigan State Spartans | 7 |
| Villanova Wildcats | 6 |
| Indiana Hoosiers | 5 |
| Kentucky Wildcats | 5 |
| Syracuse Orange | 5 |
| Michigan Wolverines | 4 |
| UCLA Bruins | 4 |
| Wisconsin Badgers | 4 |
Stick to your set unit size to see what strategies work best for you. Avoid increasing your bets in an attempt to recover losses. You can always re-evaluate your unit size as your bankroll fluctuates.
How to Build Your March Madness Bankroll?
| MATCHUP | WIN % | UPSET % | EST. OUT OF 100 | Begin by determining a realistic bankroll based on your disposable income. Next, establish a fixed bet size to prevent chasing after losses. Placing smaller bets at the start of the tournament will help you conserve money and allow you to make better-informed wagers as the tournament progresses and matchups clarify. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 vs. #16 | .987 | .013 | 1 | About once every 25 NCAA Tournaments |
| #2 vs. #15 | .928 | .072 | 7 | provides an extensive range of betting tips and bankroll strategies to help you establish your budget, especially if it's your first experience with this. |
| #3 vs. #14 | .855 | .145 | 14 | Take a measured approach to your March Madness betting during the tournament's initial two rounds. We advise you to only wager on games where you see a clear advantage. As the tournament advances, you’ll gather more data to assist with your analyses. |
| #4 vs. #13 | .789 | .211 | 21 | About one per NCAA Tournament |
| #5 vs. #12 | .651 | .349 | 35 | One or two per NCAA Tournament |
| #6 vs. #11 | .618 | .382 | 38 | One or two per NCAA Tournament |
| #7 vs. #10 | .609 | .391 | 39 | One or two per NCAA Tournament |
| #8 vs. #9 | .487 | .513 | 51 | Two per NCAA Tournament |
March Madness Game Trends
Injury updates are a crucial component of your betting strategy for March Madness. A designation of 'Probable' indicates a player should compete, while 'Questionable' or 'Doubtful' indicates uncertainty. Look past these labels—consider the nature of the injury and the depth of the team. A star player with a hand injury can greatly impact the team's chances more than a bench player with a minor strain.
Count On Great Shooting Teams
Think about a team's roster depth when evaluating injuries. A team reliant on 1-2 key players may struggle if one is sidelined. In contrast, a team with a balanced offensive system may be more resilient against injuries.
Top Seeds Dominate the First Round
Oddsmakers release early lines for over 60 games during March Madness, but these lines can be inaccurate. Creating your own forecasts in advance enables you to identify mismatches and seize value before the lines adjust. College basketball often experiences significant line movement, so zero in on teams or conferences you are already familiar with.
Upsets Aplenty in the First Two Rounds
Act swiftly on early betting mismatches. If you believe in Oregon as a -4 favorite and they open as -2.5, it’s wise to place your bet early.
provides lines sooner than many sportsbooks, offering you the chance to take advantage of opportunities.
Although March Madness games are held at neutral venues, travel distance and fan support remains influential. A team playing near its hometown or one that has a large supporter base (like Kentucky or Duke) may gain an unofficial home-court advantage. Additionally, consider the implications of seed matchups and historical trends across different regions.
Evaluate how teams have historically performed against each other within the same conference and consider distances traveled and fan attendance for both squads. Experienced bettors can discover significant advantages linked to scheduling.
What Is the Ultimate March Madness Betting Strategy?
| TEAM | # OF TOURNAMENT APPEARANCES |
|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats | 61 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 53 |
| Kansas Jayhawks | 52 |
| UCLA Bruins | 50 |
| Duke Blue Devils | 46 |
| Indiana Hoosiers | 41 |
| Villanova Wildcats | 40 |
| Louisville Cardinals | 39 |
| Texas Longhorns | 38 |
| Syracuse Orange | 37 |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 37 |
| Michigan State Spartans | 37 |
| Marquette Golden Eagles | 36 |
| UConn Huskies | 36 |
| Arkansas Razorbacks | 35 |
| Arizona Wildcats | 34 |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 34 |
| Purdue Boilermakers | 34 |
| Oklahoma Sooners | 34 |
| Purdue Boilermakers | 34 |
| Cincinnati Bearcats | 33 |
| Temple Owls | 33 |
| Kansas State Wildcats | 33 |
| Georgetown Hoyas | 31 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes | 31 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers | 31 |
| BYU Cougars | 30 |
There isn’t a one-size-fits-all strategy that assures victory. Successful bettors employ a combination of thorough research, discipline, and timing. A strong approach is to examine the current performance trends of teams. A lower seed performing well can outperform its seeding, while a top seed facing a slump may be more susceptible. Sportsbooks like Everygame provide a wide array of NCAAB betting options, facilitating the diversification of your strategy and risk during various tournament phases.
offer numerous NCAAB markets, allowing you to mix your betting strategy and invest in different segments of the tournament, while also minimizing your risk.
| TEAM | # OF TOTAL GAMES PLAYED |
|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats | 188 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 183 |
| Kansas Jayhawks | 167 |
| Duke Blue Devils | 163 |
| UCLA Bruins | 160 |
| Louisville Cardinals | 120 |
| Villanova Wildcats | 110 |
| Syracuse Orange | 109 |
| Michigan State Spartans | 109 |
| Indiana Hoosiers | 104 |
| Connecticut Huskies | 103 |
| Arizona Wildcats | 97 |
| Michigan Wolverines | 96 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes | 92 |
| Arkansas Razorbacks | 85 |
| Purdue Boilermakers | 84 |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 81 |
| Texas Longhorns | 81 |
| Marquette Golden Eagles | 81 |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 81 |
| Cincinnati Bearcats | 78 |
| Georgetown Hoyas | 77 |
| Kansas State Wildcats | 76 |
| Oklahoma Sooners | 75 |
March Madness can invoke strong emotions—especially when early bets go south. However, attempting to recover losses quickly can lead to poor decisions. Stick to your predetermined unit size and steer clear of desperate bets. Taking a pause or skipping games without clear value can help maintain a focused and responsible betting mindset. Sportsbooks like
e offer tools for responsible gambling that can provide a cooldown period or limit your betting amounts.
| TEAM | Record | WIN % |
|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils | 119-40 | .748 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 131-49 | .728 |
| UCLA Bruins | 115-45 | .719 |
| Florida Gators | 48-20 | .706 |
| Kentucky Wildcats | 132-55 | .706 |
| Kansas Jayhawks | 116-49 | .703 |
| Michigan Wolverines | 66-30 | .688 |
| Michigan State Spartans | 72-35 | .686 |
| Connecticut Huskies | 65-32 | .670 |
| Indiana Hoosiers | 68-36 | .654 |
| Villanova Wildcats | 71-39 | .645 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs | 44-25 | .638 |
| UNLV Rebels | 33-19 | .635 |
| Syracuse Orange | 69-40 | .633 |
| Louisville Cardinals | 76-44 | .633 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes | 58-34 | .630 |
| Oregon Ducks | 26-16 | .619 |
| Arizona Wildcats | 58-36 | .617 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 102-37 | .615 |
| Miami Hurricanes | 65-32 | .613 |
| Texas A&M Aggies | 79-45 | .610 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers | 70-40 | .603 |
| Oklahoma State Cowboys | 70-40 | .600 |
Tennessee Volunteers
If you start feeling overwhelmed, it’s best to step back. It’s wiser to take a break from betting on college basketball than to pursue losses or act impulsively under pressure.
| 81-43 | UConn Huskies |
|---|---|
| 17 | 72-38 |
| 15 | Northwestern Wildcats |
| 14 | 58-34 |
| 12 | Texas Tech Red Raiders |
| 7 | Essential Resources for Online March Madness Betting |
| 5 | Follow the links below to access our expert guides. We have gathered everything you need to understand how to bet on both the NCAA and March Madness: |
| 4 | Discover which sportsbooks offer the best odds, variety of lines, welcome bonuses, and more. |
| 3 | Get free predictions from our college basketball experts and AI model throughout the NCAA Tournament. |
| 2 | How to Bet on Underdogs in March Madness |
| 1 | Our expert team examines whether betting on every underdog during March Madness is a successful tactic and provides insights for your next underdog wager. |
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Check out our selection of the best bracket challenges available during this March Madness season.
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Having difficulty finding a fun name for your bracket? We’ve compiled a list of our favorite names for the 2025 competition, and while they may not enhance your betting chances, they are a delightful way to enjoy the event. Creighton Bluejays There are so many March Madness betting options, including moneyline bets for outright winners and NCAA Tournament challenges. Here are some of the most popular types of bets you can make:
, where participants guess the results of each NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament game to create the most accurate bracket possible. Points are awarded for each correct guess, with greater stakes typically placed on predictions for later rounds and the tournament champion.
For instance, a contest may award one point for each right first-round prediction, two points for each correct second-round pick, and so forth. The participant with the highest overall score at the tournament's conclusion is declared the winner.
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Here’s a sample of what a March Madness bracket contest looks like. You can download our
St. Mary's Gaels
A solid strategy for brackets is to participate in several contests to vary your selections. Instead of sticking with the same teams across all contests, introduce minor changes in each for a higher chance of success.
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Consider making moneyline bets on small favorites instead of point spreads (-110). This may involve a bit more risk, but it also means you won’t have to fret about whether a closely won game covers the spread or not.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Point spread betting centers around the margin by which a team wins. For example, if Kentucky is favored at -7.5 against Florida, they must win by 8 points or more to cover the spread. If Florida loses by 7 points or fewer—or wins outright—then the bet wins. Spreads help to equalize the odds between stronger and weaker teams.
Account for late-game strength when assessing point spreads. Teams with strong benches that often extend leads late in games generally make for safer bets when favored.
- Totals betting involves forecasting whether the combined score of both teams exceeds or falls below a designated number. If the line is set at 150.5 and the final score is 71 to 65, the total score comes to 136, and the UNDER wins. It’s not about who wins, only the total points.
- Keep the tempo of the game in mind when betting on totals. High-tempo games that create many scoring chances yield higher scores than those that are slower-paced with strong defensive strategies.
- 34-30 Understanding March Madness Betting Strategies – A Basic Overview of NCAA Tournament Wagering
- What Exactly Are Betting Systems? An Introduction for Newbies
- Oregon State Beavers
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Focus on leading teams when completing your brackets and making future bets.
